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Red56
608514.3
523511.0
552413.8
Blue67
124312.7
551713.4
566015.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3839203050605667

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6085
#25
14.31.6
13.414.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End2.2
blue by 0.9
5660
#24
15.10.5
12.613.1
Auto4.6
Teleop6.9
End3.6
Second
5524
#17
13.81.6
11.713.3
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End5.0
red by 0.4
5517
#28
13.40.5
12.212.7
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End3.3
Third
5235
#27
11.01.7
10.412.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End2.6
blue by 1.7
1243
#19
12.70.5
12.212.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed