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Red48
21723.3
781311.5
551713.4
Blue30
663810.9
609312.9
523511.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493702060804830

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#5
23.30.1
23.423.6
Auto5.1
Teleop14.3
End3.9
red by 10.4
6093
#29
12.90.3
11.811.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.4
End2.4
Second
5517
#28
13.40.1
12.712.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End3.3
red by 2.4
5235
#27
11.00.4
12.111.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.8
End2.6
Third
7813
#36
11.50.1
10.310.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End2.9
red by 0.6
6638
#33
10.90.4
10.810.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed