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Red47
31422.5
603314.5
26048.0
Blue44
607317.4
523812.6
56628.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473602060804744

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#6
22.50.2
23.123.3
Auto5.8
Teleop14.0
End2.8
red by 5.2
6073
#39
17.40.6
16.517.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.1
End4.2
Second
6033
#13
14.50.2
13.613.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End3.7
red by 1.9
5238
#31
12.60.6
11.512.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End3.0
Third
2604
#35
8.00.2
7.77.9
Auto4.5
Teleop1.6
End1.9
blue by 0.1
5662
#37
8.00.6
6.36.9
Auto4.5
Teleop0.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed