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Red48
603314.5
124312.7
504621.0
Blue60
766018.4
515518.3
31422.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51633040607080904860

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5046
#12
21.00.0
21.621.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.9
End4.0
blue by 1.5
314
#6
22.50.2
23.323.1
Auto5.8
Teleop14.0
End2.8
Second
6033
#13
14.50.0
13.813.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End3.7
blue by 3.8
7660
#16
18.40.2
17.817.6
Auto4.0
Teleop12.4
End1.9
Third
1243
#19
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End4.4
blue by 5.6
18.30.2
18.518.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsEarned33%HAB Docking oddsMissed