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Red57
387521.6
191833.5
85814.7
Blue70
516116.7
718721.4
205434.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62663040507080901005770

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.50.1
24.824.7
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End8.2
blue by 0.7
34.20.5
30.230.7
Auto6.0
Teleop19.9
End8.3
Second
3875
#36
21.60.1
25.225.0
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End2.8
red by 0.3
7187
#18
21.40.5
19.620.1
Auto5.0
Teleop11.9
End4.4
Third
858
#17
14.70.1
8.88.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End4.7
blue by 2.0
5161
#21
16.70.5
13.113.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsEarned5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsMissed83%HAB Docking oddsEarned