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Red70
240521.2
660013.9
205434.2
Blue52
21615.8
567521.5
24418.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675730405080901007052

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.20.2
29.629.8
Auto6.0
Teleop19.9
End8.3
red by 12.7
5675
#15
21.50.4
21.821.4
Auto3.3
Teleop15.2
End3.0
Second
2405
#33
21.20.2
18.919.2
Auto5.0
Teleop13.5
End2.8
red by 3.1
244
#29
18.10.4
15.415.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.9
End3.8
Third
6600
#31
13.90.4
14.915.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End3.8
blue by 1.9
216
#22
15.80.4
17.216.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
84%HAB Docking oddsEarned40%HAB Docking oddsMissed