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Red68
436225.5
70739.6
276733.4
Blue48
531617.9
432720.8
387521.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656550556070756848

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.0
28.428.5
Auto4.9
Teleop18.1
End10.5
red by 11.8
3875
#36
21.61.3
24.723.5
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Second
25.50.0
24.524.5
Auto3.8
Teleop16.4
End5.3
red by 4.7
4327
#32
20.81.3
19.818.5
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End2.5
Third
7073
#19
9.60.0
9.09.0
Auto4.8
Teleop1.7
End3.1
blue by 8.3
5316
#27
17.91.3
16.615.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
90%HAB Docking oddsEarned30%HAB Docking oddsMissed