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Red68
547012.6
240521.2
345816.7
Blue41
791117.2
642812.3
725617.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4847354045505560656841

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2405
#33
21.21.5
19.220.6
Auto5.0
Teleop13.5
End2.8
red by 3.4
7256
#35
17.80.3
16.816.6
Auto4.8
Teleop9.8
End3.2
Second
3458
#30
16.71.5
16.317.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End4.4
blue by 0.5
7911
#37
17.20.3
18.418.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End2.9
Third
5470
#26
12.61.5
10.211.7
Auto2.1
Teleop6.9
End3.6
red by 0.4
6428
#40
12.30.3
9.79.4
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed