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Red61
85814.7
432720.8
718721.4
Blue47
642812.3
781410.4
240521.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5542102030506070806147

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7187
#18
21.40.6
20.821.4
Auto5.0
Teleop11.9
End4.4
red by 0.1
2405
#33
21.20.5
20.621.1
Auto5.0
Teleop13.5
End2.8
Second
4327
#32
20.80.6
18.519.2
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End2.5
red by 8.6
6428
#40
12.30.5
9.49.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End1.5
Third
858
#17
14.70.6
12.313.0
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End4.7
red by 4.3
7814
#41
10.40.5
9.810.2
Auto5.2
Teleop1.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed