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Red36
21615.8
642812.3
660013.9
Blue54
505622.5
387521.6
724814.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4464204060801003654

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#22
15.80.6
17.717.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End1.9
blue by 6.7
5056
#12
22.50.7
22.722.0
Auto4.2
Teleop16.1
End2.2
Second
6600
#31
13.90.9
14.213.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End3.8
blue by 7.7
3875
#36
21.60.7
23.522.9
Auto5.9
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Third
6428
#40
12.30.6
9.99.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.5
End1.5
blue by 2.6
7248
#34
14.90.7
14.814.1
Auto5.4
Teleop5.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed