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Red48
345816.7
448221.8
567521.5
Blue49
2728.9
85814.7
546033.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5667304050607080901004849

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4482
#28
21.80.5
17.617.1
Auto5.2
Teleop11.7
End4.9
blue by 12.1
33.90.9
26.225.3
Auto5.0
Teleop23.5
End5.5
Second
5675
#15
21.50.5
20.019.5
Auto3.3
Teleop15.2
End3.0
blue by 7.4
27
#9
28.90.9
27.326.3
Auto3.4
Teleop16.8
End8.8
Third
3458
#30
16.70.5
14.914.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End4.4
red by 2.1
858
#17
14.70.9
9.78.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsEarned81%HAB Docking oddsEarned