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Red50
718721.4
495626.7
76897.8
Blue48
28819.4
791117.2
345816.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5857404550556065705048

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4956
#14
26.70.5
24.824.2
Auto2.9
Teleop18.8
End5.0
red by 7.3
288
#13
19.40.4
19.218.8
Auto4.5
Teleop10.4
End4.5
Second
7187
#18
21.40.5
22.021.4
Auto5.0
Teleop11.9
End4.4
red by 4.1
7911
#37
17.20.4
17.617.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End2.9
Third
7689
#39
7.80.5
8.47.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.4
End2.8
blue by 8.9
3458
#30
16.70.4
16.716.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.7
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed43%HAB Docking oddsMissed