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Red42
66277.5
85814.7
21615.8
Blue97
276733.4
660013.9
191833.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42752060801004297

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#22
15.80.5
16.315.8
Auto5.2
Teleop8.7
End1.9
blue by 17.7
33.51.7
29.030.8
Auto4.4
Teleop20.9
End8.2
Second
858
#17
14.70.5
15.414.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.7
End4.7
blue by 18.8
33.41.7
30.432.1
Auto4.9
Teleop18.1
End10.5
Third
6627
#24
7.50.5
8.07.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.4
End1.2
blue by 6.4
6600
#31
13.91.9
12.013.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.1
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed12%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed97%HAB Docking oddsEarned