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Red68
567521.5
781115.0
432720.8
Blue49
781216.1
718721.4
70739.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615030407080906849

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5675
#15
21.50.0
22.022.1
Auto3.3
Teleop15.2
End3.0
red by 0.2
7187
#18
21.40.1
21.421.6
Auto5.0
Teleop11.9
End4.4
Second
4327
#32
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto5.0
Teleop13.3
End2.5
red by 4.7
7812
#38
16.10.1
16.016.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End3.6
Third
7811
#25
15.00.0
14.915.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.3
End2.6
red by 5.3
7073
#19
9.60.1
9.59.6
Auto4.8
Teleop1.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed