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Red56
511421.4
564116.2
499411.6
Blue79
24521.4
749122.6
654810.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525430406070805679

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#20
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto5.2
Teleop13.1
End3.1
blue by 1.2
22.60.4
21.622.0
Auto4.9
Teleop15.2
End2.5
Second
16.20.0
16.216.2
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End8.3
blue by 5.2
245
#12
21.40.4
20.520.8
Auto5.9
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Third
4994
#23
11.60.0
11.611.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End2.6
red by 1.3
6548
#14
10.30.4
9.49.7
Auto3.9
Teleop2.9
End3.5