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Red38
353519.1
150619.7
55339.3
Blue32
508416.7
55389.9
526014.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484335404550553832

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.70.8
16.415.6
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End6.2
red by 3.0
5084
#13
16.71.0
14.213.2
Auto2.6
Teleop10.1
End4.0
Second
19.10.8
15.214.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End5.6
red by 4.4
5260
#21
14.71.0
13.812.9
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End3.1
Third
5533
#32
9.30.8
13.512.7
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End2.1
blue by 0.6
5538
#38
9.91.0
12.811.8
Auto4.4
Teleop2.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsMissed