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Red27
132216.3
261215.0
523416.5
Blue8
356814.9
781811.4
52159.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36361020253035278

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5234
#26
16.50.8
11.810.9
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End3.3
red by 1.6
3568
#11
14.92.8
11.68.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End4.7
Second
1322
#18
16.30.8
10.910.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.2
End3.5
red by 4.9
7818
#30
11.42.8
11.89.0
Auto4.8
Teleop4.0
End2.6
Third
2612
#10
15.00.8
11.811.0
Auto5.1
Teleop6.5
End3.3
red by 5.2
9.82.8
10.27.3
Auto2.5
Teleop4.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed