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Red27
709.6
55389.9
608615.2
Blue38
515014.2
654810.3
46811.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434130354045502738

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6086
#16
15.21.5
15.413.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.9
End4.5
red by 1.0
5150
#25
14.20.1
16.216.1
Auto5.8
Teleop5.3
End3.1
Second
5538
#38
9.91.5
11.810.3
Auto4.4
Teleop2.9
End2.6
blue by 1.5
468
#27
11.40.1
9.29.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End3.8
Third
70
#22
9.61.5
13.512.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End2.5
blue by 0.7
6548
#14
10.30.1
13.513.4
Auto3.9
Teleop2.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsMissed