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Red45
214519.6
709.6
24521.4
Blue27
61026.7
52159.8
526014.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions472910204050604527

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#12
21.41.9
16.915.0
Auto5.9
Teleop13.0
End2.4
red by 6.7
5260
#21
14.71.2
11.610.4
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End3.1
Second
19.61.9
15.613.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End4.5
red by 9.8
9.81.2
7.36.2
Auto2.5
Teleop4.7
End2.6
Third
70
#22
9.61.9
12.010.1
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End2.5
red by 2.9
6102
#37
6.71.2
8.87.6
Auto1.7
Teleop3.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed