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Red45
749122.6
508416.7
61026.7
Blue37
523416.5
356814.9
659513.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3530010204050604537

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.61.3
12.914.3
Auto4.9
Teleop15.2
End2.5
red by 6.1
5234
#26
16.50.9
11.212.2
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End3.3
Second
5084
#13
16.71.3
12.413.7
Auto2.6
Teleop10.1
End4.0
red by 1.8
3568
#11
14.90.9
9.510.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End4.7
Third
6102
#37
6.71.3
7.69.0
Auto1.7
Teleop3.8
End1.2
blue by 6.7
6595
#33
13.40.9
7.98.8
Auto4.7
Teleop5.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed