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Red49
556214.9
749122.6
261215.0
Blue32
601911.2
608615.2
66107.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393310203050604932

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.61.4
14.315.6
Auto4.9
Teleop15.2
End2.5
red by 7.4
6086
#16
15.20.0
16.816.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.9
End4.5
Second
2612
#10
15.01.4
12.113.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.5
End3.3
red by 3.8
6019
#36
11.20.0
8.08.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End2.6
Third
5562
#24
14.91.4
10.411.8
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End3.5
red by 7.4
6610
#39
7.60.0
6.96.9
Auto4.0
Teleop2.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed