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Red45
354225.0
556214.9
214519.6
Blue6
55276.2
499411.6
132216.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4442102030354050456

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.3
16.216.5
Auto3.1
Teleop17.8
End4.1
red by 8.8
1322
#18
16.33.8
14.710.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.2
End3.5
Second
19.60.3
14.314.7
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End4.5
red by 8.0
4994
#23
11.63.8
13.39.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End2.6
Third
5562
#24
14.90.3
11.511.9
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End3.5
red by 8.7
5527
#35
6.23.8
12.18.3
Auto2.7
Teleop3.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed