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Red50
150619.7
556121.3
659513.4
Blue14
55339.3
2727.9
52159.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42400102030506070805014

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.31.1
15.616.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.9
End8.5
blue by 6.6
27
#1
27.92.6
22.820.1
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End10.6
Second
19.71.1
15.416.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End6.2
red by 10.0
9.82.6
6.23.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.7
End2.6
Third
6595
#33
13.41.1
8.89.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.0
End3.8
red by 4.2
5533
#32
9.32.6
8.76.1
Auto1.6
Teleop5.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsEarned37%HAB Docking oddsMissed