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Red40
46811.4
56979.6
564116.2
Blue35
659513.4
781811.4
526014.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293802060801001201404035

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.21.4
10.011.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End8.3
red by 1.5
5260
#21
14.70.1
12.712.6
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End3.1
Second
468
#27
11.41.4
9.711.1
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End3.8
blue by 2.1
6595
#33
13.40.1
9.99.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.0
End3.8
Third
5697
#19
9.61.4
8.19.4
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End2.8
blue by 1.8
7818
#30
11.40.1
13.113.0
Auto4.8
Teleop4.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed