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Red34
561218.1
356814.9
77724.4
Blue58
24521.4
61026.7
556214.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35411020305060703458

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5612
#15
18.10.1
15.415.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.8
End3.1
blue by 3.3
245
#12
21.41.0
18.219.2
Auto5.9
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Second
3568
#11
14.90.1
15.215.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End4.7
Level
5562
#24
14.91.0
11.512.5
Auto5.6
Teleop5.9
End3.5
Third
7772
#40
4.40.1
2.32.4
Auto1.4
Teleop1.7
End1.4
blue by 2.3
6102
#37
6.71.1
8.89.8
Auto1.7
Teleop3.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed