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Red31
659711.4
781811.4
601911.2
Blue40
515014.2
57748.2
150619.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334420304050603140

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7818
#30
11.40.0
12.712.6
Auto4.8
Teleop4.0
End2.6
blue by 8.3
19.70.1
19.118.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End6.2
Second
6597
#34
11.40.0
10.610.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End1.5
blue by 2.8
5150
#25
14.20.1
14.214.1
Auto5.8
Teleop5.3
End3.1
Third
6019
#36
11.20.0
8.28.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End2.6
red by 3.0
5774
#31
8.20.1
8.17.9
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed