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Red54
749122.6
2727.9
781811.4
Blue53
24521.4
564116.2
608615.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404635505453

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
27.91.8
17.919.7
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End10.6
red by 6.5
245
#12
21.41.1
16.517.6
Auto5.9
Teleop13.0
End2.4
Second
22.613.3
25.111.8
Auto4.9
Teleop15.2
End2.5
red by 6.4
16.21.1
12.313.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.7
End8.3
Third
7818
#30
11.40.2
11.611.8
Auto4.8
Teleop4.0
End2.6
blue by 3.8
6086
#16
15.21.1
14.315.4
Auto4.9
Teleop5.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsEarned