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Red54
2727.9
132216.3
24521.4
Blue30
515014.2
601911.2
709.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66362060801005430

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#1
27.90.7
25.925.2
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End10.6
red by 13.7
5150
#25
14.20.4
13.613.2
Auto5.8
Teleop5.3
End3.1
Second
245
#12
21.40.7
21.020.3
Auto5.9
Teleop13.0
End2.4
red by 10.2
6019
#36
11.20.4
10.710.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End2.6
Third
1322
#18
16.30.7
15.915.2
Auto4.6
Teleop8.2
End3.5
red by 6.7
70
#22
9.60.4
10.19.7
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
79%HAB Docking oddsEarned14%HAB Docking oddsMissed