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Red59
499411.6
749122.6
56979.6
Blue59
150619.7
214519.6
60919.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434920304060705959

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.6
Auto4.9
Teleop15.2
End2.5
red by 2.9
19.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End6.2
Second
4994
#23
11.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End2.6
blue by 8.0
19.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End4.5
Third
5697
#19
9.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End2.8
red by 0.5
6091
#29
9.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsEarned