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Red46
608615.2
52159.8
214519.6
Blue40
46811.4
526014.7
659711.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4539203050604640

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.60.3
18.018.3
Auto4.3
Teleop10.8
End4.5
red by 4.9
5260
#21
14.70.2
14.514.7
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End3.1
Second
6086
#16
15.20.3
14.915.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.9
End4.5
red by 3.8
6597
#34
11.40.2
11.211.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End1.5
Third
9.80.3
9.49.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.7
End2.6
blue by 1.6
468
#27
11.40.2
11.111.4
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed