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Red49
561213.2
50320.7
543622.1
Blue62
590718.5
481016.4
3327.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626702040801001204962

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#38
22.10.6
25.424.8
Auto3.4
Teleop14.3
End4.3
blue by 5.3
33
#13
27.40.1
28.228.1
Auto5.8
Teleop15.5
End6.1
Second
503
#40
20.70.6
18.918.2
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End6.1
red by 2.2
5907
#35
18.50.1
17.817.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.2
End4.5
Third
5612
#25
13.20.6
14.313.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End4.3
blue by 3.2
4810
#32
16.40.1
17.717.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsMissed29%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
74%HAB Docking oddsMissed81%HAB Docking oddsEarned