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Red49
260412.7
30220.0
749120.4
Blue61
364127.5
561213.2
70318.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52642040801004961

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7491
#31
20.40.0
19.719.7
Auto4.8
Teleop11.4
End4.2
blue by 7.0
3641
#24
27.50.0
28.428.4
Auto3.5
Teleop17.8
End6.2
Second
302
#11
20.00.0
16.516.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.4
End4.2
red by 1.6
703
#20
18.30.0
18.718.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End5.0
Third
2604
#37
12.70.0
12.812.8
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End1.3
blue by 0.5
5612
#25
13.20.0
13.713.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsMissed48%HAB Docking oddsEarned