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Red80
283420.7
283222.1
170114.1
Blue64
550212.8
233726.4
50320.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555620304050607080908064

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#42
22.11.2
20.421.6
Auto4.9
Teleop15.5
End1.7
blue by 4.3
2337
#44
26.40.7
23.924.6
Auto5.4
Teleop13.5
End7.5
Second
2834
#18
20.71.2
18.119.3
Auto5.1
Teleop13.0
End2.5
blue by 0.1
503
#40
20.70.7
18.419.1
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End6.1
Third
1701
#28
14.11.2
13.714.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End1.7
red by 1.3
5502
#21
12.80.7
11.111.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.8
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed79%HAB Docking oddsEarned