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Red86
3227.2
436234.9
70318.3
Blue83
50320.7
477922.8
705620.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596402040801008683

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.92.0
32.534.5
Auto4.8
Teleop25.3
End4.8
red by 12.2
4779
#33
22.81.5
21.823.3
Auto4.2
Teleop12.3
End6.3
Second
703
#20
18.32.0
17.819.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End5.0
blue by 2.6
7056
#14
20.91.5
19.721.2
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End5.8
Third
322
#7
7.22.0
5.27.3
Auto3.2
Teleop0.5
End3.5
blue by 13.5
503
#40
20.71.5
19.120.6
Auto4.3
Teleop10.3
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
18%Rocket oddsEarned5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsEarned79%HAB Docking oddsEarned