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Red30
283222.1
705620.9
30220.0
Blue65
353423.2
54822.4
481016.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67633040506080901003065

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#42
22.12.2
22.720.5
Auto4.9
Teleop15.5
End1.7
blue by 1.0
3534
#23
23.20.3
23.523.8
Auto5.5
Teleop14.4
End3.3
Second
7056
#14
20.92.2
22.119.8
Auto4.3
Teleop10.9
End5.8
blue by 1.5
548
#16
22.40.3
19.319.6
Auto3.8
Teleop15.5
End3.1
Third
302
#11
20.02.2
18.516.3
Auto4.4
Teleop11.4
End4.2
red by 3.6
4810
#32
16.40.3
17.317.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsMissed13%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed