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Red49
360220.7
778220.1
570613.8
Blue66
598914.4
663717.1
437517.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564930406070804966

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.1
20.220.1
Auto4.8
Teleop10.6
End5.3
red by 3.0
4375
#34
17.70.4
16.817.2
Auto4.0
Teleop10.9
End2.8
Second
20.10.1
19.619.5
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End8.1
red by 3.0
17.10.4
16.216.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End4.3
Third
5706
#15
13.80.1
13.313.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End3.2
blue by 0.6
5989
#10
14.40.4
13.513.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.3
End3.8