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Red41
611213.8
608819.3
85714.7
Blue94
607917.5
715416.6
258615.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515140607080904194

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.30.2
19.519.3
Auto6.1
Teleop5.8
End7.5
red by 1.8
6079
#22
17.50.0
17.317.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End2.9
Second
857
#23
14.70.2
14.814.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End4.4
blue by 1.9
16.60.0
16.316.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End2.8
Third
6112
#35
13.80.2
13.913.8
Auto2.6
Teleop8.8
End2.5
blue by 1.2
2586
#14
15.00.0
14.714.8
Auto3.0
Teleop9.5
End2.5