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Red12
482710.2
65579.7
78266.0
Blue34
48358.3
570613.8
663717.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3034102040501234

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4827
#17
10.21.8
7.76.0
Auto4.8
Teleop1.9
End3.5
blue by 7.0
17.10.2
13.113.3
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End4.3
Second
6557
#33
9.71.8
12.811.0
Auto5.0
Teleop2.5
End2.2
blue by 4.1
5706
#15
13.80.2
10.010.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End3.2
Third
7826
#27
6.01.8
7.65.8
Auto2.2
Teleop2.2
End1.7
blue by 2.3
4835
#36
8.30.2
8.99.1
Auto4.2
Teleop2.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed