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Red31
497015.3
52137.7
85714.7
Blue39
71567.6
78166.7
656921.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38280102050603139

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4970
#18
15.30.5
14.514.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.4
End1.9
blue by 5.8
21.11.4
13.514.9
Auto5.1
Teleop10.7
End5.3
Second
857
#23
14.70.5
10.910.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End4.4
red by 7.1
7156
#25
7.61.4
9.110.5
Auto1.8
Teleop2.1
End3.7
Third
5213
#40
7.70.5
10.39.8
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End1.3
red by 1.0
7816
#28
6.71.4
4.15.5
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed