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Red18
471513.6
776810.3
763814.1
Blue40
771313.9
607917.5
360220.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263401020304050601840

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7638
#20
14.10.8
7.66.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End3.0
blue by 6.7
20.70.8
13.814.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.6
End5.3
Second
4715
#26
13.60.8
10.29.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End4.7
blue by 4.0
6079
#22
17.50.8
9.210.0
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End2.9
Third
7768
#37
10.30.8
7.06.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End1.7
blue by 3.6
13.90.8
9.610.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsMissed