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Red50
387524.1
78266.0
778220.1
Blue18
71567.6
782712.0
65819.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373001020506070805018

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.11.0
19.120.1
Auto6.4
Teleop12.2
End5.4
red by 12.0
7827
#16
12.01.1
8.97.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.7
End2.7
Second
20.11.7
10.011.6
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End8.1
red by 11.1
6581
#39
9.01.1
8.77.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End2.2
Third
7826
#27
6.01.7
5.87.5
Auto2.2
Teleop2.2
End1.7
blue by 1.6
7156
#25
7.61.1
10.59.4
Auto1.8
Teleop2.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
12%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed