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Red38
663717.1
763814.1
482710.2
Blue49
607917.5
608819.3
570210.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2830102040503849

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.11.3
13.314.7
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End4.3
blue by 2.2
19.32.3
12.514.7
Auto6.1
Teleop5.8
End7.5
Second
7638
#20
14.11.3
6.98.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End3.0
blue by 3.5
6079
#22
17.52.3
10.012.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End2.9
Third
4827
#17
10.21.3
6.07.3
Auto4.8
Teleop1.9
End3.5
blue by 0.2
5702
#21
10.32.3
5.98.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsEarned