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Red33
655816.5
611213.8
471513.6
Blue48
439123.6
258615.0
65579.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414602060803348

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6558
#13
16.50.7
13.713.1
Auto5.7
Teleop6.5
End4.3
blue by 7.1
23.60.5
16.617.1
Auto3.5
Teleop14.8
End5.3
Second
6112
#35
13.80.7
12.912.2
Auto2.6
Teleop8.8
End2.5
blue by 1.2
2586
#14
15.00.5
14.414.9
Auto3.0
Teleop9.5
End2.5
Third
4715
#26
13.60.7
12.411.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.5
End4.7
red by 3.8
6557
#33
9.70.5
12.513.0
Auto5.0
Teleop2.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed29%HAB Docking oddsMissed