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Red30
65579.7
611311.9
663717.1
Blue39
778220.1
548610.3
498810.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38390102030506070803039

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.10.8
13.312.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.9
End4.3
blue by 3.0
20.10.2
17.417.6
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End8.1
Second
6113
#31
11.90.8
12.411.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.6
End1.8
red by 1.6
4988
#19
10.30.2
10.811.1
Auto4.3
Teleop3.4
End2.6
Third
6557
#33
9.70.8
10.09.2
Auto5.0
Teleop2.5
End2.2
blue by 0.6
5486
#24
10.30.2
8.38.6
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsEarned