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Red43
611213.8
656921.1
782712.0
Blue50
763814.1
159614.2
52137.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43321020405060704350

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.10.2
19.019.2
Auto5.1
Teleop10.7
End5.3
red by 6.9
1596
#29
14.21.7
11.913.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Second
6112
#35
13.80.2
12.112.3
Auto2.6
Teleop8.8
End2.5
blue by 0.3
7638
#20
14.11.7
12.113.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End3.0
Third
7827
#16
12.00.2
9.69.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.7
End2.7
red by 4.3
5213
#40
7.71.7
6.48.1
Auto2.1
Teleop4.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed6%HAB Docking oddsMissed