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Red50
159614.2
611213.8
570613.8
Blue46
611311.9
437517.7
778220.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415020306070805046

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1596
#29
14.20.1
13.713.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.7
blue by 5.9
20.10.1
19.519.4
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End8.1
Second
5706
#15
13.80.1
13.113.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End3.2
blue by 3.9
4375
#34
17.70.1
16.216.1
Auto4.0
Teleop10.9
End2.8
Third
6112
#35
13.80.1
12.312.4
Auto2.6
Teleop8.8
End2.5
red by 1.9
6113
#31
11.90.1
11.511.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed