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Red25
85714.7
611311.9
361712.4
Blue33
48358.3
387524.1
608819.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384402060802533

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#23
14.71.2
14.112.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End4.4
blue by 9.4
24.10.6
18.518.0
Auto6.4
Teleop12.2
End5.4
Second
3617
#30
12.41.2
8.37.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.7
End2.0
blue by 6.9
19.30.9
13.112.2
Auto6.1
Teleop5.8
End7.5
Third
6113
#31
11.91.2
13.512.3
Auto4.5
Teleop5.6
End1.8
red by 3.6
4835
#36
8.30.9
9.88.9
Auto4.2
Teleop2.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed