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Red36
65579.7
776810.3
159614.2
Blue41
715416.6
78166.7
85714.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35370102030506070803641

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1596
#29
14.20.2
13.714.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.7
blue by 2.4
16.60.5
14.715.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End2.8
Second
7768
#37
10.30.2
10.010.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End1.7
blue by 4.4
857
#23
14.70.5
13.814.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End4.4
Third
6557
#33
9.70.3
9.29.4
Auto5.0
Teleop2.5
End2.2
red by 3.0
7816
#28
6.70.5
6.26.7
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed