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Red54
567623.4
600216.7
655614.6
Blue54
50318.9
791117.3
609212.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575230406070805454

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.0
23.123.1
Auto4.4
Teleop15.3
End3.8
red by 4.6
503
#20
18.90.0
19.119.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End6.6
Second
16.70.0
16.316.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.5
End7.7
blue by 0.6
7911
#11
17.30.0
17.517.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.0
End4.4
Third
6556
#15
14.60.0
14.214.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End5.1
red by 2.5
6092
#18
12.10.0
12.312.3
Auto2.0
Teleop6.9
End3.3