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Red16
83012.2
57086.7
72039.1
Blue41
456822.3
791117.3
567418.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35470204060801641

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
830
#38
12.21.9
11.29.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.5
blue by 10.1
22.30.3
19.018.7
Auto3.0
Teleop15.5
End3.8
Second
7203
#34
9.11.9
12.510.5
Auto1.0
Teleop5.2
End2.9
blue by 9.3
5674
#14
18.40.4
14.414.0
Auto5.9
Teleop8.4
End4.1
Third
5708
#36
6.71.9
9.87.9
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End2.0
blue by 10.6
7911
#11
17.30.4
11.511.1
Auto4.8
Teleop8.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed